Category Archives: POLITICS

George Washington was the first farmer politician but Lincoln was the last.

Mainframe to Smartphone

Latest IBM mainframe computer $1,000,000

New World Order Decentralization

I designed the Data Operations center of the New Jersey National Bank in Ewing Township, NJ in 1979 which had a single IBM Mainframe at the time.


By 1978 Wang was the largest worldwide supplier of CRT word processing systems, with fifty thousand users. In a few years 80% of the 2,000 largest US firms had bought Wang equipment. At one time, it was said, every secretary in America swore by Wang products.


The girls from 18 to maybe 40, married the Wang 2200. The design, engineering & construction company employed 2,500 professionals 2,000 ‘gearheads’ and 500 architects. Our customers the big banks and the airlines had their IBM mainframes, the engineers had their mini-computers and the girls had the latest and greatest word processing technology. The architects? Well we still had our T-Squares & Triangles.

Back at our corporate office we had an HP 3000 mini-computer which the engineers used in mystic ways to do structural calcs and project scheduling.
Long about 1985 the California office rented a dozen Auto-Trol CAD machines, the leading edge in computer aided the design. Now everybody could throw away their T-Squares, triangles and even their drafting tables. Nope! Nobody over 20 knew how to use a graphics computer. High school kids took over and the AE&C professionals were too old to learn new tricks.


Around 1980, Bill Gates gave Microsoft, the company he founded, a clear mission: “A computer on every desk and in every home.”

Steve Ballmer (left) and Bill Gates, both from Microsoft, speak next to a fountain at the annual PC Forum, Phoenix, Arizona, February 16-19, 1986. (Photo by Ann E. Yow-Dyson/Getty Images)

Having graduated from high school in 1961 and architecture in 1968, I got a positive response from USAID to be a Computer Construction Management consultant to the Egyptian Ministry of Agriculture. The fact that I didn’t know anything about agriculture, a little about construction in the field and not sure what to do after I turned the computer on, were merely details. I did reference my design of the New Jersey National Bank computer operations center.

When, in 1985, I witnessed the MOA secretary, typing in Arabic from right to left, on her IBM PC MS DOS operating system, I saw the Prophet Bill Gates vision: “A computer on every desk and in every home.” was just around the 1995 introduction of AOL.


There are about 2 billion smartphones in the world today and that is set to rise to 6 billion by 2020. 6 billion smartphones represents huge computational capacity, and often that capacity is underutilized. While worries are growing that we are ‘addicted to’ or ‘overusing’ or smartphones, the fact of the matter is that are smartphones spend most of their existence in our pocket, in a bag or on a table somewhere. Cars are an analogous example. During their lifetime, cars spend 95% of their time parked and only 5% of their time actually driving.
But why is this important? While we are producing more data than ever, we’re struggling to analyze much of it. According to a recent EMC report, only 1% of data produced is every analyzed but 37% of data would be useful to analyze. Increasing our processing power by leveraging smartphone downtime would go a long way to making data analysis faster and more efficient. The idea is based on the concept of distributed computing. A distributed system is a group of interconnected computers working towards the same goals. A distributed system can divided tasks between these different computers to help get work done faster and more efficiently.

Power to the people now everyone can have an IBM Mainframe in their pocket with access to the Cloud. The New World Order is controlled by the end user, deciding what they want to see, hear, and do.

Look, There’s a White Guy on the Roof!

On a new homes sales interview in Amarillo, my prospective employer was driving  us through his subdivision, when I spotted this white guy working on the roof of a home under construction. In Houston, in my four years and 100+ sales of new homes, I never, ever saw a white guy on a roof. My fellow sales counselors were white, black and a lonely Puerto Rican. The construction managers were white college graduates with a sprinkling of blacks. The people who built the homes from the ground up were Mexican illegals working for legal Salvadorian/Mexican owners.  Immigration and Naturalization Service, the precursor to ICE would periodically raid a subdivision and scatter the entire workforce – I guess Amarillo was a sanctuary city for white construction workers.

I talked with a cement finisher who had been in Texas for over six years, still making only $5.00/hr. I bribed Abundio Laredo away from his 11 hours a day, six days and $500 a week  meat cutter job at the Chinese restaurant, to milk our cows and goats for $15.00/hr. And yes, there is no way to make an illegal, legal in the USA – “There is no controlling legal authority ….” – Al Gore

FREE THE MINIMUM WAGE SLAVES

Walmart employs an astounding 2.1 million people.  In the United States alone, the company employs 1.4 million people.  This is a staggering 1% of the U.S.’s 140 million working population.

Walmart, in other words, matters. Its payrolls, and its pay, move the needle. And right now, many people argue, Walmart is very much part of the problem.

The average Walmart “associate,” Wake Up Walmart reports, makes $11.75 an hour. That’s $20,744 per year. Those wages are slightly below the national average for retail employees, which is $12.04 an hour. They also produce annual earnings that, in a one-earner household, are below the $22,000 poverty line.

On the other hand, these wages are far above minimum wage of $7.25 an hour. They also aren’t THAT FAR below the national retail average (only 2.5% below). In a two-earner household, moreover, these wages would produce a household income of $40,000+, which, in some areas of the country, is comfortably middle-class.  Walmart offers benefits to some of its employees, as well as store discounts and profit-sharing plans.

Small businesses are Big business

Employees per establishment in the U.S. coffee and snack shops industry from 2002 to 2016 was 9.51There are roughly 130 million U.S. workers employed by small businesses.

  • Represent more than 99.7% of all employers
  • Employ half of all private-sector workers and 39% of workers in high-tech jobs
  • Provide 60% to 80% of the net new jobs annually
  • Pay 44.3% of total U.S. private payroll
  • Produce more than 50% of non-farm private gross domestic product, or a GDP of roughly $6 trillion
  • 3% are franchises

Source: SBA, “Small Business by the Numbers,” June 2004

Prior to 1950 eighty percent of the population was self-employed – down on the farm. Today 98% live in urban areas that employ 90 million in the service sector and only 12 million in manufacturing. Adam Smith divided the employment world into Farmers-Merchants-Manufacturers. Farmers were the most important because they were the only ones who produced more than they consumed – it’s the one, two, three baby analogy. If a nation’s birthrate falls below 2.3, without immigration they’ll eventually go out of business.

Farmers, as long as they take care of the soil, can make 3 babies (grow more foodstuffs than they consume) every year to infinity. Merchants (Service Sector) don’t make any babies and Manufacturers make orphans that can’t reproduce. So, Houston what we have here is a big, big problem.

Family business farming before 1950

Small businesses (really family businesses, Sam Walton might have had 9.51 employees in his Dime Store) have always represented 99.7% of all employers, only by the end of WWII 80% of them still lived in the country.  Worse yet, now the Merchants & Manufacturers have occupied rural America. In 1950 there were 12 million farmers, each raising an average of 200 pigs. Today there are 200 farmers each raising 2 million pigs.

THE CIVIL WAR WAS ABOUT SLAVE WAGES

Henry Ford gave everybody $5.00/day instead of the standard two-twenty-five, “so his employees could afford to buy a car.” WRONG! Ford didn’t raise wages so that his workers could afford his cars. What happened is that he hired and then lost some 52,000 workers a year in order to have a stable workforce of 14,000. This obviously had vast costs in trying to hire and then train all of these workers: as well as the costs when they walked off the assembly line disrupting production. The doubling of wages to $5 a day reduced those costs by more than the extra pay cost him. Which is why he did it. Ford had to hire 52,000 a year to keep 14,000 for a turnover of 370%. Retailers today range from 150-300% turnover. Each entry level new hire costs at least $2,000 to replace the dear departed. What really hurts is how much a May 25, 2014 five-dollar bill is worth today, $118.26 to be exact. Those poor turds were running in off the farm to get $14.72 an hour on the assembly line.

The biggest difference between workers in RTW and non-RTW states is the fact that workers in non-RTW states are more than twice as likely (2.4 times) to be in a union or protected by a union contract. Average hourly wages, the primary variable of interest, are 15.8 percent higher in non-RTW states ($23.93 in non-RTW states versus $20.66 in RTW states). Median wages are 16.6 percent higher in non-RTW states ($18.40 vs. $15.79).

COOL SLAVES

So, the rest of the wage story of America had the unions driving manufacturing from the rust belt to the sun belt. The three or four dollars an hour wage difference didn’t hold a candle to 15 cents an hour in Mexico and of course there was China. Which came first Wal-Mart or China. All recovering Yankees that weren’t nailed down moved to Atlanta, Houston & Dallas. After 2008 nobody but nobody could get a job for more than the $7.25/hr. MINIMUM and Wal-Mart became the employer of last resort.

DEFINITELY NOT COOL SLAVES

As a 14-month veteran of Richmond-Rosenberg’s Wal-Mart Tire, Lube, Express it takes a lot of humility and quasi-permanent damage to your self-esteem to work at Wal-Mart. I cannot list a single redeeming feature; on the contrary working at Wal-Mart is hazardous to your mental health.

THE SOLUTION

Legalize Immigration

There are 20 million plus, not 11 million, Abundio’s working for real slave wages because the slave labor supply to nationalized ratio is at least three times greater than when Lincoln ran the show. Build the Wall – issue federal photo ID cards – write the law

 Eliminate All Subsidies and Tariffs

New Zealand did it 20 years ago and agriculture thrived. Absolutely no adverse consequences, only innovation and the benefits of a healthier food supply.

Reset World Reserve Currency to Gold Standard

US trade deficits were flat until Tricky Dick pulled the plug on Gold. Our 1998, 80 cents a pound goats are now worth $2.50/lb. According to the CPI calculator 80 centavos in ’98 is worth $1.25 in 2018, giving the self-employed goat farmer a $1.25/lb wage increase or shall we say, profit.

Trump and the Age of Aquarius

In Eugeneology the Age of Aquarius will bring about a real new world order in Race, Religion, Politics, Sex and MoneyI think we’re there!

Siri Singh Sahib Harbhajan Singh Khalsa Yogiji, known as Yogi Bhajan, taught that The Age of Aquarius began on November 11, 1991 and fully transitioned from Pisces on November 20, 2011.

Alan, our across the hall bonafide Irishman neighbor.

Be careful what your neighbor wishes for. The Irishman moved in across the hall about a month after we set up our expat tent in Antalya. The Irishman, a 72 country lifestyle explorer, extolled our good fortune and insight for selecting first Turkey, second Antalya and third the untapped gentrification bounties that awaited us in our new backyard. I showed him the recently completed $250,000 duplex in the next block down our alley wide street.

“That’s ridiculous, at $1,500/m2, that’s way above market price. What we need is a bomb.”

“Why?”

“Drive all the tourists away and lower real estate prices.”

This is why God invented whiskey, so the Irish wouldn’t rule the world. However, my own hedonistic wishes have become cautionary tales. What fun is it being an expat in Fiji, Bali, Malta, or the Maldives after a month or two, it’s the same-o, same-o all day, every day. Turkey is the nexus of civilization but after the June 7th election, the bombing began in Alanya the next town east of us, the refugee babies washed ashore on Bodrum, (Turkey’s Cape Cod}, now the nexus is looking more like the casket of civilization.

Napoleon said that if the world were one nation, Istanbul would be the Capital.

Not to worry the Irishman still has his whiskey, and in dollar terms our rent keeps getting cheaper. According to ISIS”s interpretation of the Koran the end of the world happens in Istanbul. The 2012 Mayan prediction didn’t pan out unless they were referring to Obama’s reelection. I’m going to go with Friday, January 20th 2017 if Hillary gets inaugurated. But not to worry even if Trump is elected we are, since November 20th 2011, in the Age of Aquarius.

The Age of Aquarius is causing great turmoil, to make room for the new values of love, brotherhood, unity and integrity. Everything with Piscean values is being exposed and taken down. This includes governments, corporations, individuals, and even personal relationships. Many call this a disaster, as the world appears to be falling apart, but is it? 

The Aquarian Age points to the direction of our own evolution in consciousness. We are each being asked to make a choice. We can cling to the old outdated values or adopt the new evolving ones. Our happiness and peace depends on our choice. The change will take place whether we like it or not. By Sandra Weaver

What do Trump, George & Bernie have in common? They are the THREE of Diamonds.

This is not going to sit well in Eugene but it is karmic payback for electing Obama. Not to worry we’re all going to like the Age of Aquarius. But before we get there Trump, June FOURTEENTH (3d) the Day of GUTSY CONFRONTATION has to “stir the pot.”

An Illuminati spokesperson, explaining what happened on the November 9, 2016 election of Trump: “God intervened.”

Trump, is in his Uranus period of life ages 65 – 77 and the astrologers since Olney H. Richmond invented the card system in 1910 have made  the Astrology Readings, readable.

  

       NINE  of Clubs                Uranus Glymph           QUEEN  of Hearts

Your Thirteen-Year Nine of Clubs Period 2011 to 2024

This can be a period of disappointment and loss or one of spiritual fulfillment. And how you experience it will be determined mostly by your level of spiritual awareness. Most people in today’s world consider Nines to be the worst cards in the deck. This is because Nines represent endings and most of us do not like endings. But this card can also mean mental enlightenment. The Nine of Clubs literally means ‘completion of plans or ideas’. When this card appears, it will signal a time when some ideas, ways of thinking or communicating, or some personal plans of yours are ready to end. If you choose to resist this ending, you will experience great disappointment, stubbornly holding on to ways of thinking, ideas, beliefs, or plans that are no longer useful or helpful to you. If it seems that things are going against you when this card is present, it is probably because you are resisting letting go of some of these things, that, are no longer serving your highest good.

On the positive side, you are ready to awaken to a new and higher way of thinking that will be better than you have imagined. The Nine of Clubs has been known to signal a time when powerful spiritual experiences may occur, such as universal consciousness, and indicates the success of any endeavors that involve spreading higher truths to the world.

The underlying Queen  of Hearts says that love, sex, family and children will also play prominent roles in your life at this time. You could even experience a ‘love of a lifetime’.

It was the best of times, it was the worst of times, it was the age of wisdom, it was the age of foolishness, it was the epoch of belief, it was the epoch of incredulity, it was the season of Light, it was the season of Darkness, it was the spring of hope, it was the winter of despair, we had everything before us, we …

Donald Trump is an “evil genius” – Michael Moore

Trump’s Sunzi Stratagem #27: “Feign madness but keep your balance”

(假痴不癲/假痴不癫, Jiǎ chī bù diān) Hide behind the mask of a fool, a drunk, or a madman to create confusion about your intentions and motivations. Lure your opponent into underestimating your ability until, overconfident, he drops his guard. Then you may attack.

In 1776 twenty-seven year old George  Washington took on the British and almost half of his fellow colonists to victory in the American Revolution. In 2016 Donald  Trump and Bernie  Sanders took on the Deep State and almost half of their respective  voting public.

Bernie, unintentionally exposed the establishment’s King George candidate – Hillary Clinton – to be the enemy of the people. And the rest is history.

PRESIDENTIAL MARRIAGE ARGENTINE STYLE

Argentina’s President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner (R) and U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton yuck it up, during a meeting at the Casa Rosada Presidential Palace in Buenos Aires, March 1, 2010.

Ms Kirchner telling Hillary how Argentina has been transferring spousal presidential power since Peron. “Don’t Cry for me Argentina” is a sad song because Evita died before her husband Juan Peron could break the presidential palace glass ceiling.

Nestor Kirchner remained a highly influential politician during the term of his successor and wife Cristina Fernández de Kirchner. The press developed the term “presidential marriage” to make reference to both of them at once. Some political analysts compared this type of government with a diarchy. 

Argentina’s former President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner was indicted on Monday on charges that her administration accepted bribes from construction companies in exchange for public works contracts, according to an indictment released by a federal judge. 18 September 2018


These presidential marriages aren’t all they’re cracked up to be.

SEPARATING THE BIG POTATOES FROM THE SMALL POTATOES

Ray Farnham, my 7th grade Social Studies teacher, was always describing the challenge of history, since time began, as the nothing more than separating big potatoes from the small potatoes. Teacher Ray’s story example:

Once there was a man who was hired to sort potatoes into two piles—big potatoes and small potatoes. His employer thought this task should take no more than a couple of hours. However, when he returned at the end of the day, he found his helper sitting in front of the huge pile holding a potato in each hand, while muttering to himself, “decisions, decisions, decisions.”

U.S. government economic bailout of 2008 is the most recent example of the big potatoes sorting the potatoes into two piles with 99% ending up in the small potato pile.

BERNIE WON THE BATTLE TRUMP TO WIN THE WAR

We are truly grateful Bernie for your Political Revolution. You have brought us to the gates of the establishment. You are the Martin Luther King of 2016. You have educated, inspired and led the people with honesty, dignity and humility. You have won the battle for the hearts and minds of the electorate. You have said yourself that this Revolution is not about Bernie it’s about us.

The us in us knows that Trump is an asshole but he is our only option, if us wants to win the war. Hillary wouldn’t honor the Pledge of Allegiance let alone the Democratic Party Platform. Don’t waste your life energy attacking Trump. Don’t waste your life energy trying to negotiate with the Democratic Elite. Vet the Senate and House candidate list, regardless of party affiliation, then tell us for whom to vote.

Become the LBJ of future American political accomplishment. Lyndon Baines Johnson single-handily ran the Senate and with his buddy Sam Rayburn controlled the House. No one, whether they are Bourgeoisie or Proletarian, doubts your word – you remain the last honest politico in power – for example, when you announce legislation to pass Super Glass-Steagall the public and Congressmen who want to keep their job will say Amen.

Let Brexit be our guide, “Those with money are in, those without money are out.” 95 million Americans do not have a job and no hope of having a job. At least, 300 million Americans have no money and only a tiny hope of getting any money. LBJ was a lousy president because he used the Congress to enact his good, bad and ugly policy decisions, Civil Rights/Vietnam/Great Society. since 1964, the “do nothing Congress” has done nothing but make bad, very bad, policy decisions.

LBJ, to pay for his “Guns and Butter” folly was forced to break the chains of gold that kept the Federal Reserve, the Banks and most importantly, the US

We have paid dearly for Nixon’s colossal error. But this abhorrent deviation from a sound dollar can be corrected. The country — and the world — awaits the political leader who truly understands making the dollar as good as gold is vital to the prosperity, security and liberty of the American people, and who can therefore lead the country and the world forward to a 21st century gold standard.

HIPPIES, YIPPIES, YUPPIES & BUPPIES

According to Ed Sanders, the change in the public label from “beatnik” to “hippie” occurred after the 1967 Human Be-In in San Francisco’s Golden Gate Park, where Ginsberg,Gary Snyder, and Michael McClure led the crowd in chanting “Om”. Ginsberg was also at the infamous 1968 Democratic National Convention, and was friends with Abbie Hoffman and other members of the Chicago Seven. Stylistic differences between beatniks, marked by somber colors, dark shades and goatees, gave way to colorful psychedelic clothing and long hair worn by hippies. While the beats were known for “playing it cool” and keeping a low profile, hippies became known for displaying their individuality.

One early book hailed as evidencing the transition from “beatnik” to “hippie” culture, was Been Down So Long It Looks Like Up to Me by Richard Fariña, brother-in-law of Joan Baez. Written in 1963, it was published April 28, 1966—two days before its author was killed in a motorcycle crash.

The Yippies had no formal membership or hierarchy. Abbie Hoffman, Anita Hoffman, Jerry Rubin, Nancy Kurshan, and Paul Krassner founded the Yippies (according to his own account, Krassner coined the name) at a meeting in Abbie and Anita’s New York flat on December 31, 1967.[7] “If the press had created ‘hippie,’ could not we five hatch the ‘yippie’?” Abbie Hoffman wrote.

Anita Hoffman liked the word, but felt that the New York Times and other “strait-laced types” needed a more formal name to take the movement seriously. That same night she came up with Youth International Party, because it symbolized the movement and made for a good play on words. The Yippies held their first press conference in New York at the Americana Hotel March 17, 1968, five months before the August 1968 Democratic National Convention in Chicago. 

‘Get Clean for Gene”

Sister Sue, upper left, Walnut Hills High School ’64, dropped out of Miami of Ohio to run away to Haight Ashbury, San Francisco to be a Hippie. She shared her life with a Buppie but ventured to DC where she met her future husband John, front with baby. John was a Yippie at heart campaigning for Eugene McCarthy in he 1968 election. John retired from Yuppie-hood in 2012 as president of St. Charles Community College.

Jerry Rubin, the Yippie, Walnut Hills High School ’56 dropped out of UC Berkeley to be a full time socio-political activist.

Kenneth Elton “Ken” Kesey (/ˈkz/; September 17, 1935 – November 10, 2001) was an American novelist, essayist, and countercultural figure. He considered himself a link between the Beat Generation of the 1950s and the hippies of the 1960s.

Kesey was born in La Junta, Colorado and grew up in Springfield, Oregon, graduating from the University of Oregon in 1957. He began writing One Flew Over the Cuckoo’s Nest in 1960 following the completion of a graduate fellowship in creative writing at Stanford University; the novel was an immediate commercial and critical success when published two years later.

Heroes, Artists, Prophets, & Nomads

Authored by John  Mauldin, originally posted at MauldinEconomics.com,

Psychologists from Sigmund Freud forward have generally agreed: our core attitudes about life are largely locked in by age five or so. Changing those attitudes requires intense effort.

Neil Howe and William Strauss took this obvious truth and drew an obvious conclusion: if our attitudes form in early childhood, then the point in history at which we live our childhood must play a large part in shaping our attitudes.

It’s not only early childhood, however, that forms us. Howe and Strauss think we go through a second formative period in early adulthood. The challenges we face as we become independent adults determine our approach to life.

These insights mean we can divide the population into generational cohorts, each spanning roughly 20 years. Each generation consists of people who were born and came of age at the same point in history.

These generations had similar experiences and thus gravitated toward similar attitudes.

Four generational archetypes: Heroes, Artists, Prophets, & Nomads

In their book The Fourth Turning, Howe and Strauss identified four generational archetypes: Hero, Artist, Prophet, and Nomad. Each consists of people born in a roughly 20-year period. As each archetypal generation reaches the end of its 80-year lifespan, the cycle repeats.

Each archetypal generation goes through the normal phases of life: childhood, young adulthood, mature adulthood, and old age. Each tends to dominate society during middle age (40–60 years old) then begins dying off as the next generation takes the helm.

This change of control from one generation to the next is called a “turning” in the Strauss/Howe scheme.The cycle repeats on a “fourth turning” as a new hero generation comes of age and replaces the nomads. Each fourth turning, however, is a great crisis.

(The turnings have their own characteristics, which I describe in detail in this article. Today’s economic and political landscape, unfortunately, makes it clear we are about halfway through the fourth turning.)

Now, let’s get back to the archetypes and see how they match the generations alive today.

The characteristics of each archetype aren’t neatly divided by the calendar; they are better seen as evolving along a continuum. (This is a very important point. It’s why we get trends and changes, not abrupt turnarounds. Thankfully.) People born toward the beginning or end of a generation share some aspects of the previous or following one.

Hero generations are usually raised by protective parents. Heroes come of age during a time of great crisis. Howe calls them heroes because they resolve that crisis, an accomplishment that then defines the rest of their lives.

Following the crisis, heroes become institutionally powerful in midlife and remain focused on meeting great challenges. In old age, they tend to have a spiritual awakening as they watch younger generations work through cultural upheaval.

The G.I. Generation that fought World War II is the most recent example of the hero archetype. They built the US into an economic powerhouse in the postwar years and then confronted youthful rebellion in the 1960s.

Further back, the generation of Thomas Jefferson and James Madison, heroes of the American Revolution, experienced the religious “Great Awakening” in their twilight years.

Artists are the children of heroes, born before and during the crisis. They are, however, not old enough to be an active part of the solution. Highly protected during childhood, Artists are risk-averse young adults in the post-crisis years.

They see conformity as the best path to success. They develop and refine the innovations forged in the crisis. Artists experience the same cultural awakening as heroes but from the perspective of mid-adulthood.

Today’s older retirees are mostly artists, part of the “Silent Generation” that may remember World War II but were too young to participate. They married early and moved into gleaming new 1950s suburbs.

The Silent Generation went through its own midlife crisis in the 1970s and 1980s before entering a historically affluent, active, gated-community retirement.

Prophet generations experience childhood in a period of post-crisis affluence. Having not seen a real crisis, they often create cultural upheaval during their young adult years. In midlife, they become moralistic, values-obsessed leaders and parents. As they enter old age, prophets lay the groundwork for the next crisis.

The postwar Baby Boomers are the latest prophet generation. They grew up in generally comfortable times with the US at the height of its global power. They expanded their consciousness when they came of age in the “Awakening” period of the 1960s. They defined the 1970s/1980s “yuppie” lifestyle and are now entering old age, having shaped the culture by virtue of sheer numbers.

Nomads are the fourth and final archetype. They are children during the “Awakening” periods of cultural chaos. Unlike the overly indulged and protected prophets, nomads go through childhood with minimal supervision and guidance. They learn early in life not to trust society’s basic institutions. They come of age as individualistic pragmatists.

The most recent nomads are Generation X, born in the 1960s and 1970s. Their earliest memories are of faraway war, urban protests, no-fault divorce, and broken homes. Now entering midlife, Generation X is trying to give its own children a better experience. They find success elusive because they distrust large institutions and have no strong connections to public life. They prefer to stay out of the spotlight and trust only themselves. Their story is still unfolding today.

Millennials are a new hero generation

After the nomad archetype, the cycle repeats with another hero generation: the Millennials (born from 1982 through about 2004) are beginning to take root in American culture.

They are a large generation numerically, filling schools and colleges and propelling new technology into the mainstream. If the pattern holds, they will face a great crisis. It will influence the rest of their lives… just as World War II shaped the G.I. Generation heroes.

It’s not going to be a short period of difficulty. It will be an existential crisis, one in which society’s strongest institutions collapse (or are severely challenged and stressed) and national survival is in serious doubt. The Crisis can be economic, cultural, religious, military, or all the above

Trump has served as the Che Guevara to Tulsi Gabbard’s Fidel Castro.

MILLENNIALS MAY THE FORCE BE WITH YOU

First Turning: A High

The First Turning is a High. Old Prophets die, Nomads enter elderhood, Heroes enter midlife, Artists enter young adulthood—and a new generation of Prophets is born. This is an era when institutions are strong and individualism is weak. Society is confident about where it wants to go collectively, even if those outside the majoritarian center feel stifled by the conformity. America’s most recent First Turning was the post-World War II American High, beginning in 1946 and ending with the assassination of Hero John Kennedy (29 May 1917) in 1963, a key life-cycle marker for today’s older Americans. Coming of age during this High was the Artist archetype Silent Generation (born 1925 to 1942). Known for their caution, conformity, and institutional trust, Silent young adults embodied the ethos of the High. Most married early, sought stable corporate jobs, and slipped quietly into America’s gleaming new suburbs.

In Parsons’ terms, a First Turning is an era in which both the availability of social order and the demand for social order are high. Examples of earlier First Turnings include the post-Civil War Reconstruction Era, sometimes called the Victorian High of industrial growth and stable families, and the post-Constitution Era of Good Feelings, when Thomas Jefferson celebrated the advance of science and empire.

Second Turning: Awakening

The Second Turning is an Awakening. Old Nomads die, Heroes enter elder hood, Artists enter midlife, Prophets enter young adulthood—and a new generation of child Nomads is born. This is an era when institutions are attacked in the name of personal and spiritual autonomy. Just when society is reaching its high tide of public progress, people suddenly tire of social discipline and want to recapture a sense of personal authenticity. Young activists and spiritualists look back at the previous High as an era of cultural poverty. America’s most recent Awakening was the “Consciousness Revolution,” typified by Bernie Sanders 8 Sep ’41 which spanned from the campus and inner-city revolts of the mid-1960s to the tax revolts of the early ‘80s. Coming of age during this Awakening was the Prophet archetype Boom Generation (born 1943 to 1960), whose passionate idealism and search for authentic self-expression epitomized the mood of the era. 

In Parsons’ terms, a Second Turning is an era in which the availability of social order is high, but the demand for such order is low. Examples of earlier Second Turnings include the Third Great Awakening around 1900, marked by labor protests, Billy Sunday evangelicals, and “new woman” feminists, and the Transcendental Awakening, which Henry David Thoreau described as a period “when we have lost the world…and begin to find ourselves.” 

Third Turning: Unraveling

The Third Turning is an Unraveling. Old Heroes die, Artists enter elder hood, Prophets enter midlife, Bill Clinton 19 Aug ’46 and Hillary Clinton 26 Oct ’47 Nomads enter young adulthood—and a new generation of child Heroes is born. The mood of this era is in many ways the opposite of a High. Institutions are weak and distrusted, while individualism is strong and flourishing. Highs follow Crises, which teach the lesson that society must coalesce and build. Unravelings follow Awakenings, which teach the lesson that society must atomize and enjoy. America’s most recent Unraveling was the Long Boom and Culture Wars, beginning in the early 1980s and probably ending in 2008. The era opened with triumphant “Morning in America” individualism and drifted toward a pervasive distrust of institutions and leaders, an edgy popular culture, and the splitting of national consensus into competing “values” camps. Coming of age during this Unraveling was the Nomad archetype Generation X (born 1961-1981), whose pragmatic, free-agent persona and Survivor-style self-testing have embodied the mood of the era. 

In Parsons’ terms, a Third Turning is an era in which both the availability of social order and the demand for such order are low. Examples of earlier Unravelings include the periods around the “roaring” 1920s of Prohibition, the Mexican War in the 1850s, and the French and Indian Wars in the 1760s. These were all periods of cynicism and bad manners, when civic authority felt weak, social disorder felt pervasive, and the culture felt exhausted.

Fourth Turning: A Crisis Nomads

The Fourth Turning is a Crisis. Old Artists die, Prophets enter elderhood, Nomads enter midlife, Michelle 17 Jan ’64 Barrack Obama 4 Aug ’61Heroes enter young adulthood—and a new generation of child Artists is born. This is an era in which America’s institutional life is torn down and rebuilt from the ground up—always in response to a perceived threat to the nation’s very survival. Civic authority revives, cultural expression finds a community purpose, and people begin to locate themselves as members of a larger group. In every instance, Fourth Turnings have eventually become new “founding moments” in America’s history, refreshing and redefining the national identity. America’s most recent Fourth Turning began with the stock market crash of 1929 and climaxed with World War II. The generation that came of age during this Fourth Turning was the Hero archetype G.I. Generation (born 1901 to 1924), whose collective spirit and can-do optimism epitomized the mood of the era. Today’s Hero archetype youth, the Millennial Generation (born 1982 to 2004) show many traits similar to those of the G.I. youth, including rising civic engagement, improving behavior, and collective confidence.

In Parsons’ terms, a Fourth Turning is an era in which the availability of social order is low, but the demand for such order is high. Examples of earlier Fourth Turnings include the Civil War in the 1860s and the American Revolution in the 1770s—both periods of momentous crisis, when the identity of the nation hung in the balance.